What type of portfolio to use for retirement income?
Most retail advisors have provided us with a formula for retirement
income that insists on a high percentage of bonds and fixed income products
like annuities. This old story has been updated by Warren Buffett’s advice.
Today we have available a special computer analysis that helps us decide for
ourselves. If you are near or in retirement, you need to use a nest egg
calculator (‘Monte Carlo’ simulation) like the one from Vanguard: https://retirementplans.vanguard.com/VGApp/pe/pubeducation/calculators/RetirementNestEggCalc.jsf
By playing with the level of stocks, bonds, and cash you can optimize
your chances of having enough money for 30 to 50 years of income. Thus we found
that over 65%
stocks provided us with 91% probability of having enough income for 30 years.
Usually, advisors tell us to sell stocks and buy bonds in the reverse
percentages: 65-80% bonds. When you do this in 100,000 simulations, you only
have 58% chance of making it for 30 years. That is because over time, bonds
lose to inflation. Let your winners run.
Listen to Buffett not your advisor: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffetts-Vanguard-Funds-Retirement/dp/1496148592
How to avoid being fooled by your advisor
Madoff tricked thousands into giving him their life savings. To prove
his worthiness, he sent new investor money to old investors. None of his
investors objected. Madoff took the Ponzi concept to extremes nobody had
previously thought possible: $65 Billion. The key principles that allowed him
to get away with what he did for so long: Fake statements look real and speedy
refunds. Long-term steady returns are not what stock markets are known for. His
very consistency eventually became statistically impossible to believe, but
each individual year, in itself, was perfectly plausible. His sales strategy
was what conservatives wanted for their money. His service was cloaked
in exclusivity and secrecy: the ‘elect’ do not complain; they feel special.
His explanation of success was vague. Madoff deliberately targeted charities
and his own religious groups. Many of his ‘friends’ were cheated. Madoff ran his
own brokerage firm. He was chairman of Nasdaq, a self-regulating organization. Since
nothing has changed legally, there
are Ponzi schemes going on right now. I find them every week (see below).
Buffett recommends Vanguard: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffetts-Vanguard-Funds-Retirement/dp/1496148592
Make Warren Buffett your investment advisor
Warren Buffett is your investment advisor—without the fees! The
greatest investor of our time with a proven record of $101 BILLIONS, Buffett
has provided FREE lessons and guidance for many years. We were just NOT
listening. His comments and letters to shareholders since 1977 are FREE. He has
explained not only the management of his fund; he has taught us how to invest
and provided guidance on the trends of the times. http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
He has explained why we should NOT
follow the advice of Wall Street. He has told us how to be successful
investors. He has explained how to turn $9 a day into $1,000,000 over time. He
told us the KEY to investment success is COMPOUNDING. “My wealth has come from
a combination of living in
Make Buffett your advisor: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffett-Your-Investment-Advisor/dp/1518690963
Two
Between
Use your tax
credits: https://www.amazon.com/Tax-Credit-Class-your-credits-ZERO/dp/1539462382
Why is there a waiting line to buy life insurance now?
Pandemic buyers were reminded of their mortality is one reason.
Survivors of Covid have had their apps postponed especially older adults. But
older adults also pay more for their coverage so it pays to consider your
options. If you need to cover the cost of a funeral, you may be able to pre-pay
with a reputable business. If you need basic coverage, there are small amounts
available without medical tests. Policies that provide higher amounts for heirs
or business buyouts need to be shopped since rates differ greatly. You may find
it more convenient to use an aggregator selling multiple policies in your
state. If you have other assets—IRAs, pensions, or endowments, you may not need
more coverage. Check the current beneficiary designations to make sure your
assets are left to the right loved ones. Many firms offer life insurance to
retirees at high cost. This may be called group life conversions. There are
other options.
Shop around: https://www.amazon.com/Life-Insurance-Need-Save-right/dp/1480002178/
What are the “safe investments” in retirement?
Some media writers boast about “safe
investments” for your retirement money. Don’t be fooled. There are no
investments without negative possibilities. First rule for any investor:
there are no “safe” investments. 1. Municipal bonds may be tax-FREE but they
can raise overall taxes. They also provide little protection from inflation. 2.
Peer-to-peer lending may earn more than bank CDs but you can lose your money or
earn less than advertised (as I did). 3. Annuities are useful in that the monthly
amount paid is guaranteed by an insurer. However, as your expenses rise, the
monthly check remains the same and your heirs get nothing if you die early.
There are better
ways to assure income for life. 4. Treasury inflation-protected securities
provide some protection but with low payouts, you can’t live on the interest
from TIPS. 5. Rental real estate is less “safe” than stocks. “You can turn any
property into an investment that will provide income for years to come.” I
tried this for years and you must give up income when tenants default and when
repairs and maintenance are required unless you can do it all yourself. Live
close! 6. Taking SS at age 70. It is tough to beat an inflation-adjusted
monthly payment that is good for life and backed by the government. Few people
can afford to wait to age 70 and fewer can stretch the enhanced payments to
cover all expenses. Finally, you must plan out your income strategy in retirement.
You will have more income by avoiding your high-cost advisor.
Plan wisely: https://www.amazon.com/What-your-RMD-much-spend/dp/1718946716
How can we protect ourselves from money scams?
Scams to induce us to give our hard-earned cash to others are on the
increase. Technology has made it easier and safer than holding a gun to our
heads in the parking lot. So we have to learn how to protect ourselves in new
ways. First, most scammers are coming to you via phone and computer. Few use a
letter or personal visit. Scammers are avoided by not responding to un-initiated
contacts—no matter what they say or look like. Scammers wear ‘disguises’: they
fake a logo from banks, IRS, FBI, Amazon, Microsoft, your local advisor’s firm.
I get offers for money and computer, tax and legal help every day. I did not
initiate any of them. No govt agency calls you about arrest warrants for you or
your relatives, SS benefits or taxes. Unless you gave your info to the caller,
how’d they get your info except by theft. Before responding to any contact, do
your Google search: Scam: ‘I can fix your computer for
$300” AARP.org/aboutFWN
shows real scams. Giving scammers
access to computer to steal your money: watch real scam office. The
most difficult scams to detect are from those we trust with our money. Most
people are losing $3,000 a year to sellers who have earned our trust. Sales
people win your trust so you will feel comfortable giving them your money
when you don’t need to.
Beware ‘trust’ scams:
https://www.amazon.com/Money-Scams-2014-insurance-financial/dp/1505437962
Where is that refund?
The Internal Revenue Service today reminds taxpayers that the most
convenient way to check on a tax refund is by using the “Where’s My Refund?” tool at IRS.gov or through the IRS2Go Mobile App.
Where is the stimulus 1 or 2? If you did not receive stimulus 1 or 2, start filing here: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/recovery-rebate-credit.
Stimulus 3? https://www.irs.gov/coronavirus/third-economic-impact-payment
Estimated tax payments are still due April 15. If you are self-employed or do not have enough withheld from a paycheck, pension or Social Security, you may have to send quarterly payments to the IRS. Tax returns for 2020 are due May 17 not April 15 but the estimated tax payments are still on schedule.
IRS
will redo your taxes and send refund if you paid tax on Unemployment 2020
or you paid ObamaCare’s
excess advance premium tax credit repayment.
Have tax forms; will file … for FREE but WAIT . . .
If you have unemployment income, ObamaCare coverage you should wait to file since the IRS has not yet implemented tax-FREE provisions of the new Covid law. If you already filed and paid tax on your unemployment income, IRS says it will send you a refund of the tax automatically. DO NOT FILE an amended return to obtain a refund on this tax. Taxes due MAY 17 not April 15. Input the W-2, unemployment, SS benefits, IRAs, pensions, RMD, brokerage, etc. forms you have. You can file for FREE online. If you didn’t receive a correct form, file a Form 4852. Usually filing your state return costs as little as $15 unless you buy the Pro helpline. Avoid $300-400 paid preparer fees—new IRS forms mean higher fees. Unemployment insurance is TAXABLE on the Federal income tax return; not on some state returns. Some states do not tax your SS and pension benefits.
Retirees did not have to take their RMDs
in 2020 so taxes may be less: it was a good time to convert
IRA to Roth IRA for tax-FREE future. Unless you were self-employed, you
can’t deduct home office expenses of working from home. You can deduct as
medical expense all Covid
prevention supplies. Some states continue the health
insurance mandate and penalty unless you have an exemption. Since the IRA
contribution deduction has no age limit now, you may reduce your income/taxes
by making a contribution of up to $7,000. The standard
deduction went up to $12,400 single; $24,800 joint. Jan 15 last day to make 2020
estimated payments. You have to report your April/May and December/January
stimulus payments even though they are not taxable. Some of us receive a bank
credit; some a debit
card; some a check. Even if you don’t have to file, you should file so scammers
can’t use your SS number to mess up your IRS file. Tested
E file software ratings. Efile
Jan 15; IRS processing Feb 12.
E file avoids covid at your preparers’ office: https://www.irs.gov/filing/free-file-do-your-federal-taxes-for-free
What to do if you can’t pay by May 17?
Avoid the penalty for not paying estimated tax. Ask for an automatic extension to file till October. If that does not work for you, you can apply for a payment plan. An individual can setup an IRS installment plan if you owe $50,000 or less and can pay back the amount owed in 3 years. If you are a business owner, you can setup an installment plan if you owe $25,000 or less. The IRS will charge a one-time fee of $105.
If you own
less than $25,000 and can pay the amount owed within six years, ask the IRS
for a streamlined payment agreement. The IRS will charge a one-time fee of
$102.
Request an Offer in Compromise if you cannot pay the total amount owed. This allows you to settle your tax debt for less than the total amount owed if you will be unable to pay back the total amount owed within 10 years. The IRS will charge a one-time fee of $150. Given the pandemic economic hardship, apply for the extension to file now: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/f4868.pdf
Special circumstances help: call the IRS Taxpayer Advocate Service 1-877-777-4778 for free assistance.
More ways: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/heres-how-people-can-pay-their-federal-taxes
IRS has $1.3 billion
refunds for 2017 tax returns
Unclaimed income tax refunds worth more than $1.3 billion
await an estimated 1.3 million taxpayers who did not file a 2017 return,
according to the IRS. “Time is quickly running out for these taxpayers. There’s
only a three-year window to claim these refunds, and the window closes on May
17.” If they do not file a tax return within three years, the money becomes the
property of the U.S. Treasury. Filing instructions are available on the IRS.gov Forms and Publications page or 800-829-3676.
You have 30 days to collect your cash!
**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************
Like 1776, this
period is a test
of democracy—We
rejected an "American
fascist"
Do
police have a license to kill?
FL
drivers get OK to run over protesters
Where ‘Truth
and Reconciliation Commission’?
How Govt wastes our money:
We paid the bill to clean up after polluters fouled our country: will polluters get re-bill
Congress makes sure Puerto Rico helps wealthy avoid taxes: it will never be a state
GOP raises taxes quietly in FL: if we shop online, we pay $1 billion
SCAMS/SPINS:
GOP
votes against equal pay: keep women earning 82 cents per male $1.00 for
same job.
Trumpists
post white supremacist policy list: European ancestry values
Trump’s lieutenant Roger Stone doesn’t pay his taxes either: hide income in fake biz
Capitol police told to track anti-Trump protesters ONLY: let terrorists attack Congress
Trumpists get big rewards for denying democratic way: “only fair if GOP wins”
Trumpist Hawley OK with hate crimes: sole GOP vote NO to bill
Scam: ‘I can fix your computer for
$300” AARP.org/aboutFWN
shows real scams.
SCAM: Giving scammers
access to computer: steal your money: watch scam office
Eddy Blizzard MD caught
stealing $1 million with blank checks faked signature.
Christopher Lee
Hibbard KY caught
stealing barred from any financial sales activity
Douglas MacKinnon caught
avoiding debts gave $1.6 million home to his wife/daughter
Mobile speed test:
use FCC download tester to verify “you get what you
pay for”
Mass killings: more
guns than people: easy way to confirm manhood/revenge/score/hate.
Congress
ignores gun killings: Supremes’
ruling protects police: shoot
first, ask later
Tesla
driverless will kill automatically: in TX dark, Tesla can’t ‘see’ the tree
on curve?
Instead of getting
protection of vaccine, some
buy fake card to infect co-workers $9.49
Fake
info used to create buz for certain people: it is easy to mislead us
Covid
deaths 575,000; 1918 pandemic
675,000: 40%
won’t get vax--we learned nothing?
Scams made just for
us: 10
best ‘selling’ ways modern thieves work today
Danger: walking
in front of Tesla can kill you: no driver; no sensors; no stopping
IRS: Easy Steps to Protect Your Computer and Phone and Avoid Phishing Emails.
IRS: Free special ID
protection PIN goes on your return so scammers
can’t take refund
IRS: Previous tax
returns available online: https://www.irs.gov/individuals/get-transcript
IRS tips to avoid
scams: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/tax-scams-consumer-alerts
Is it a scam? Check AARP scamline
877.908.3360. BBB
Scam tracker
Check
IRS: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/dirty-dozen-part-1-taxpayers-should-be-on-the-lookout-for-these-scams
https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/dirty-dozen-part-2-thieves-work-all-year-to-scam-taxpayers
Find tax preparer: https://www.irs.gov/tax-professionals/choosing-a-tax-professional
Check Social
Security: https://blog.ssa.gov/
Safeguard data: ConsumerReports
help: https://securityplanner.consumerreports.org/
Jobs
25
high pay jobs to reach for the future: plus machines
can’t replace skilled trades!
The top 15 career
fields — ranked
by average national salary:
20
jobs part time any age work can do it temporarily
Who owns your account now?
Biden reverses orders that boosted fossil gas/extraction on public lands and waters
SS benefits can be reduced when you work BEFORE your “full retirement age”
Need moving expenses? Some states pay to move there for a time.
Flood insurance: private policies might be cheaper in low-risk areas: exceptions
RIA custody business of Morgan Stanley to Axos Financial
Miracles:
Older adults "prediabetes"
usually DO NOT go on to develop full-blown diabetes WOW!
Vaccine can save you
but masks can save others: virus
requires us to care for each other
ObamaCare
coverage repayments cancelled: you do not have to pay IRS back
We can apply for
Medicare online: https://blog.ssa.gov/apply-for-medicare-online
We can apply for
Social Security online: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/
We can apply for
health care online: https://www.healthcare.gov/
IAN
41 Watchung Plaza,
B242
973.746.2014
www.InsuranceAdvisorsNetwork.com
Alerts available
at http://dankeppel.blogspot.com/
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