Nobel Prize economics/finance investment strategy
Paul Samuelson, head MIT Economics Department, was the first American to win the Nobel Prize in Economics and advised various presidents. While discussing stock market strategy with John Bogle and Warren Buffett, he recommended the simple but winning strategy of buy and hold low cost index funds with few withdrawals. That was it. Wall Street has never been happy with this advice because the owners cannot make money with it. They need movement—buy and sell activity. But buy and sell activity may create extra taxes for you—NOT them. So making use of a tax-FREE account has great benefits for you—NOT them. It is impossible for them to make money following Buffett’s advice in a tax-FREE account. There is no movement and there are no tax consequences upon withdrawal/rebalancing. This is why no advisor recommends buy and hold investments at Vanguard. But Vanguard has salaried advisors when you need one—NO product ‘pushers.’
Use the smart strategy: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffett-Your-Investment-Advisor/dp/1518690963
Investors are weighing the leveraging strategy like never before. Investors may earn 6-8% by buying high dividend growth stocks with 2% margin loans. Using borrowed money to invest is a risky strategy but with money so cheap, it is our banks’ current high-profit center. In fact, banks are again engaged in a dangerous game of holding risky assets off their balance sheets in variable interest entities and using our money (Fed funds) to invest in high-risk corporate loans. Some banks are holding $ billions in collateralized loan obligations. Like the CDO that defaulted in 2007-8, CLO are like putting lipstick on a pig. Ratings for the top layer of loans hides the poor commercial loans beneath. Following the “Greed is Good” ideology, banks have again put our legitimate bank system at risk. Like the young man who killed himself because he misunderstood leveraged trading on the long odds, our bankers are taking profits before they have to kill their consumer banks. Unlike personal leverage, we taxpayers will have to bail out our legit banks and send the criminals home with fat bonuses like last time. A safer strategy may be taxable muni bonds which have recently paid over 2%. States and cities need cash to replace falling revenues.
Stick with the Best: https://www.amazon.com/Vanguards-Top-Ten-mutual-funds/dp/150073909X/
Does the SEC’s new regulation ‘Best Interest’ protect us or Wall Street firms?
The terminology in the new standard of service gives financial institutions a legal advantage: "informed consent" disclosures are so obtuse they won’t be understood. Firm lawyers write them. The regulatory agency’s test for “informed consent” puts the onus on us and creates a “buyer-beware” trap that will make it difficult for investors to prevail in a FINRA hearing or suit. If we accept the advisor’s recommendation, we agree to any misleading and omitted statements involved. In effect the firm’s “Best Interest” becomes our “best” interest because they will say we should have researched all the conflicts of interest they have before the purchase. It becomes our problem when the conflict was not disclosed because we didn’t even know about it. We couldn’t ask. SEC examiners will not be present when our advisor fails to tell us all the conflicts. Most advisors don’t even know all the conflicts that exist between the firm and its customers. How could advisors disclose them to us? For instance, advisors don’t know about the flow trading deal the firm has with some vendors. They don’t know about the ‘hair cuts’ on securities. They don’t know the stock lending deals. They don’t know the factors in margin loans. They don’t understand the firm’s hype. They don’t know the special deals or kickbacks firms receive for selling certain products and services. Advisors aren’t fiduciaries. The real Fiduciary Rule was cancelled by Trump as soon as he took office.
Best Interest rule is not the Fiduciary Rule: https://www.amazon.com/Fiduciary-Rule-BEST-dont-anymore/dp/1530980275
Which is best for you—pension or lump sum?
With companies dropping like flies in today’s economy, you may be faced with this decision. This is not an easy decision because you don’t get a second chance. With most firms, you are usually all in or all out. Usually the financial contract is set in stone. And now is a hard time for workers especially. If you are facing the choice, there are many factors in your decision. First, will the company be around to make its payments. Second, if your company buys an annuity now to make the payments for them, the amount will lower now because interest rates are lower. Third, if you take the lump sum, will you pay someone to manage your investments or will you know how to buy an annuity yourself. Fourth, can you rollover the pension and wait to buy a better annuity. In my case, I found a fee-only planner who walked through the options as part of a complete financial plan. Since that person did not sell products nor could gain from our decision, I was happy to pay the single fee. We got unbiased advice based on all the factors involved.
Be prepared: https://www.amazon.com/Your-Retirement-Spending-Plan-enough/dp/1461084016
Learn how to take your RMD required minimum distributions
The IRS requires us to take withdrawals of a certain amount from our pension, IRA, 401k, 403b and any other tax-deferred accounts starting after age 70. But will we have enough to last, how do we invest our money, how much can we spend safely? We can create tax-FREE income from our IRA and reduce the forced withdrawals. We can take advantage of the miracle of compounding: $100,000 becomes $500,000 in 15 years. We can create an investment plan for 30+ retirement years. We can self-insure and self-fund all your financial needs. We can be ready when Social Security cuts benefits in 2034.
Consider 17 options: https://www.amazon.com/What-your-RMD-much-spend/dp/1718946716
Are we better off today than 4 years ago?
Average income is down. Unemployment for low-skill workers is up above 10%. Wealthy have more wealth. Fewer taxes are being collected. Budget deficit hits $3 Trillion for first time since WWII. Consumer debt rises again. "14% of Americans say they have wiped out their emergency savings since the onset of the pandemic and 11% have borrowed money to cover emergency expenses." Congress’s millionaires have decided that workers will not go back to work if $600 of unemployment benefits are continued even when their jobs are gone. Since benefits have ended so have job-seeking re-training programs. Evictions stand ready to beat workers even lower or push them into the streets. Some food banks do not accept food donations since they don’t want to infect the distribution volunteers with virus. Robots take more jobs: cut pay. Automation vs workers has changed cost-effective balance. Health care costs rise. Workers lose health coverage with jobs. Even when a test is “free” it isn’t. We deserve better!
Prepare for the future: https://www.amazon.com/Handling-Emergencies/dp/1537636707
What if my heirs can’t handle a lump sum?
Heirs who cannot handle your money have options that don’t’ require a high-cost trustee. Typically the wealthy will hire an institution (bank) as trustee to dole out the inheritance for living expenses. But some of these arrangements are tricky and taxed heavily. And what if you can’t afford to pay a lawyer for the trust and bank and investment fees for an heir’s lifetime? Are there viable options? Perhaps a special annuity will help: an immediate annuity that’s non-cancelable. In effect, the individual with spendhrift behavior or addiction will receive a check periodically for the rest of their life and can’t get more than that no matter what they do. Insurers won’t budge. Heirs can’t spend it all or be bullied by an abusive spouse or be swindled out of their total principal.
Consult a fee-only estate planner: https://www.amazon.com/Annuity-Decision-Tree-questions-answers/dp/1546454497
**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************
Like 1776, this
period is a test
of democracy—do we really want ‘low-IQ’
Mobster?
Philly DA: we have an “authoritarian
dictator."
Dictator feared telling the
truth: “There’s
going to be great death!”
Dictator: Virus
is Dem “hoax” & “just
disappear”
Dictator’s advisor: “bring
martial law if lose”
Dictator: If I lose; I
win with Supremes
Dictator: “There has to
be retribution” kill
for kill
How Govt wastes our money: Congress
gives 3.7 Trillion to the wealthy!
Trump
“peace” breakthrough: F-35 fighter jets to UAE’s for past relations with
We taxpayers are paying for Pompeo’s events to booster his personal brand: criminal
Election timing: UAE and Bahrain already communicate and engage with Israel
Fed “printing money like crazy”: “foreigners increasingly unwilling to fund our deficits”
Senate lays itself off with pay: we pay when they DON’T work: why not the rest of us?
GOP health care plan “all ready’ to be announced but no one can discuss it
PO
turns away money-making shipments since mail slowdown clogs
SCAMS/SPINS:
Trump
took $4 millions from medical fund for NY firefighters hurt in 9/11 event
Trump
promised virus tests would be free: insurers’ own billing too complex: $2,718
lab
Trump fires up his
virus crowd: "Now
I can be really vicious," more deaths 200,000+
Trump’s old white lawyer:
virus life-saving
lockdown is like slavery—Barr taking drugs!
Trump
pays secret ‘TrumpYouth’ to spread propaganda media: no mail-in; no virus;
etc
Trump: take a third
term as president because he is 'probably
entitled' to it: dictatorship!
Trump’s FDA virus
vaccine ‘experts’ conflicted: if
virus is ‘hoax’ is vaccine worth it?
Trump again claims vaccine will be “free
to all Americans:” Insurers not heed before.
“Law and order” president
breaks law in
This
Sunday recorded highest one-day increase in global cases: bars/cafes/event
spikes
Trump’s
judge says PA virus lockdown unconstitutional: 300,000 dead by Nov 3
AG Barr says we are going
down the path to socialism: police
state necessary now
Trump’s judge
has decided the Trump can end humanitarian protections
Police hide/erase
body-cam footage when they kill: so what’s the point of body cams
Taking temperature
is false security: people
with COVID may have no symptoms
Older kids with NO
symptoms bring virus home and infect family: need masks, washing
Drug
pushers want $10,000 for remdesivir treatment: science exposed overcharge;
now $3,100
TX GOP
manipulates virus numbers for politicians who fear Trump: deaths result
TX
GOP blocks county from sending mail-in voting applications to 2 million voters
Trump’s RNC and NJ
GOP sues to stop
mail-in election in NJ:
GOP Election
Division rejects
over 35,000 mail-in ballots in recent
Trump’s
PO sending out misinformation postcard on mail-in voting process
Trump
now using Constitution to stop NJ from avoiding Trump mail-in ballot
slowdown.
Trump gets 774,000
FL voters off the rolls: his
court bans former inmates from voting
Will
we all need to go to the streets like Belarus to end dictatorship in Jan 2021?
Sports
without cable subscription: you may already have access to some games
5G
may be slower than 4G: so many variables we don’t control make speed
slower.
Boeing
execs in charge of bad design defend it: training on new system “not
necessary”
How to Spot a Fake
Whisky: ways to
protect yourself from being duped.
MyPillow Lindell
claims new
cure for virus: oleandrin: Trump provides marketing
forum
Long-lost
friend contacts you on Facebook: fake friend message asks for info/money
Par Funding caught
in fraud high-interest loans to biz; using entities to evade regulations
Navient student loan
class-action suit
gives $500,000 to lawyers; nothing to students
ITT Technical
Institute’s student loan
Remington Chase CA Knightsbridge caught
stealing $9 million promised movie interest
Dalio king of hedge
funds lost 19% and clients, staff arbitration; sells optimism
Financial services
firms failing
to disclose disciplinary history on their Form CRS
Disinfectants
that DON’T kill the virus: antibacterial soap kills bacteria only
ClearPath Lending caught
with false, misleading, and inaccurate statements
Lauren Wing CA caught
buying commissioned CDs without permission
Patrick J. Knox PA caught
taking client list to another firm
Is it a scam? Check AARP scamline 877.908.3360.
Check
IRS: https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/dirty-dozen-part-1-taxpayers-should-be-on-the-lookout-for-these-scams
https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/dirty-dozen-part-2-thieves-work-all-year-to-scam-taxpayers
Jobs
Biden
fails to offer health care for all and infrastructure jobs: tax
policy $0 if no job.
FedEx
hiring for holidays: temp jobs may result in unemployment in Jan
Using
‘religious beliefs’ talk to discriminate: TX law upholds biz discrimination
activity
Who owns your account now?
Wealthy
have many tax haven and citizenship options:
Virus tests: which are accurate; what do they tell you?
Favorite brands without the marketing hype and expense: Kirkland Costco value
Miracle:
Two
women get 19 families to buy GA acres for safe living for Blacks: leave
harassment
Ice Age cave bear found
in the Russian Arctic with soft tissue intact: quick freeze
42 sq mile chunk of
Greenland’s ice cap broke off fjord Arctic: lookout
Trump’s troops
couldn’t find special weapons to hurt protestors in his ‘Bible stunt’
Pope seeks
‘liberate’ Virgin Mary from Mafia: Church helped Mob ‘fight’ communism
IAN
41 Watchung Plaza,
B242
973.746.2014
www.InsuranceAdvisorsNetwork.com
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