Friday, November 8, 2019

Do income annuities really provide a “Worry-Free Retirement?”


Do income annuities really provide a “Worry-Free Retirement?”
Here is the claim: an income annuity provides insurance against outliving assets and not having sufficient spending power late in retirement. Income annuities are actuarial bonds. They provide longevity protection that is unavailable with traditional bonds. Retirees receive the bond yield curve plus mortality credits. Annuities increase risk capacity because the retiree's lifestyle is less vulnerable to a market downturn. Also, distributions from the stock portfolio can be lessened, reducing sequence risk and helping to preserve the investment portfolio. For those with a family history of long life, you will be assured of having some income for the rest of your life. You benefit from other annuitants’ short lives. However, this strategy is hardly ‘worry-free’ because 1. how much annuity to buy, 2. when to buy, 3. what about inflation: it reduces HALF the buying power of the benefit in 20 years, 4. how much for a later legacy, 5. there is no upside potential and no large asset in case of emergency needs, 6. annuities are non-refundable, 7. you forgo the total return of a stock portfolio—no dividends and no capital appreciation. Yes, annuities last for your lifetime but spending power and assets decline over time.

Even part-time self-employment can improve your situation
IRS just gave us the new rates in 2020. The Self-employed use many tax benefits not available to most mortals. For example, for tax year 1995, Trump claimed a $916 million LOSS that could have allowed him to legally avoid paying federal income taxes for up to 18 years. He and his accountants created the $1 billion paper loss by claiming business losses. Your business loss can offset your other family incomes like his did. Your business can even fund your retirement nest egg and still show a ‘loss’ on paper. You can deduct the cost of improvements (new tools, truck), meals for employees (family), your (QBI) rental real estate, routine maintenance, etc like corporations do. Most corporations pay no federal income tax. You can even claim part of your home and its property taxes. Also you can use these elections post-year end to achieve a desired tax result. You can pay your employees (family) as contractors and avoid some taxes and forms too. Some IRS changes hurt; some help.

Our Attorney General told to find dirt for 2020 election
Trump pushed the Australian prime minister during a recent telephone call to help Attorney General William P. Barr gather information for a Justice Department inquiry that Mr. Trump hopes will discredit the Mueller report. If Trump can Bribe Ukraine for investigation of Biden then we won’t be surprised if he encourages other countries to buy adverts in Facebook and other media to present Fake News for the 2020 election. Trump has Barr working Europe to dig dirt. Trump has McConnell stocking the courts with his disciples so he will win any lawsuit against him in the future. Trump has ‘moved’ to FL to assure safety in this GOP state. Even the Supremes may be asked to keep his tax returns from a legal investigation. This sounds like a right turn in American ‘democracy.’ There is hope in a new FoxNews poll that has voters choosing Hillary Clinton over Trump and she isn’t even running.

Trump tax cut has cost $ Trillions with no economic expansion
Last quarter economic growth of 1.9% is a far cry from the “4 percent, 5 percent and even 6 percent” growth rates that Trump once promised to deliver. Every time the GOP controls Washington, they promise the tax cuts that will be paid for by more growth. This is like the gambler who takes the family paycheck and promises that this week they will win the lottery. Thanks to both a tax cut that did not deliver growth and a trade war that backfired, most Wall Street economists believe manufacturing is already in recession. Even steel plants, which were supposed to be among the biggest beneficiaries of Trump’s tariff strategy, are shuttering. Since most of us got little out of Trump’s massive tax cuts, we must prepare for the coming tax increases. GOP used to care about deficits.

Is no-cost trading right for you?
Many brokerage firms are trying to get us to trade securities at no cost. But is this strategy working for you? A simple low-cost market index account is up over 24% so far. Even with no trading costs, can you really do better? How many market timers and special situations have beaten the market? Does your statement show the benchmark for comparison? Most don’t show your YTD total return number side-by-side with index. So how do you know how well your 1-2% fee strategy is doing over time? Most of us don’t take the advice of one of greatest investors, Warren Buffett: "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the IMPATIENT to the PATIENT."

Is your broker predicting bad returns in the future?
Morgan Stanley sees the market returns ‘tumbling’ in the future. Goldman sees no recession. Whose crystal ball do you believe? The analysts see the U.K. having the highest return potential for equities, followed by emerging-market shares. However, if UK is locked out of the EU by closing all borders, how can that happen? Is it even possible to predict the future? And if your broker can predict the future, what makes them think the UK is solid? Are you going to bet the ranch on your sales person who earns a living by thought persuasion? Predicting doom is easy since most of us are optimists and aren’t going to sell all for CDs. Is it more likely that a broad exposure to most of the markets will provide your best chance of positive 9% returns? Are you going to keep your money in 2% CDs for 10 years? Really? How will you know when to buy again?

What does one of the greatest investors recommend?
Buffett bet $1 million that his recommended investment—just one simple fund—would beat a Wall Street guru with 5 different strategies. Active money management does not help you more than it helps its manager. Buffett says: “A very low-cost index is going to beat a majority of the amateur-managed money or professionally-managed money.” So why don’t more people take his advice: everyone thinks they are smarter than the market and can find the needle in the haystack. Over and over research shows you can’t. Most investors earn just 3.79% not the market index return of 11% over time.

Looking for a trustworthy broker?
All the advice articles, including my own, suggest you do a search of complaints at the self-regulation organization called FINRA. However, its BrokerCheck does not have all the bad news and troubled past of many brokers. Those who have problems move to another firm and state and have their records expunged. Take a recent example: First Standard Financial was a registered investment advisor recently caught for unauthorized, unsuitable, excessive trading. It was notorious for hiring bad brokers who joined with questionable past activity and many customer complaints. The owner of First Standard is Carmine Anthony Berardi. His securities record has no listings for his 11 years in the business: https://brokercheck.finra.org/individual/summary/4879362#timelineSection. First Standard worked out of offices in New Jersey even though Carmine acts as chief compliance officer from Garden City NY. New Jersey shut down First Standard and froze its assets after finding its agents raked in more than $28.7 million through “pervasive unauthorized, unsuitable and excessive trading.” Potential customers would have no idea they would suffer under the brokers from this firm. You would have had to do exhaustive due diligence to find the true record of brokers like Andre Pierre Davis and William Christian Gennity who worked at First Standard. https://stockbrokerfraud.com/tag/first-standard-financial-company-llc/ Note that this malfeasance has gone on a long time and only now has First Standard in NJ been stopped. Customers will have to wait a long time if ever for their money back. You are better off with Warren Buffett as your advisor.




**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************

Like 1776, this period is a test of democracy—do we really want a Tzar as prez?


FoxNews Poll: Clinton 43%; Trump 41% and Clinton isn’t even running. Void 2016 election?

Trump’s WALL is being cut open: smugglers know no boundaries—saws made in US.



SCAMS/SPINS:
Justin Amaral, MorganStanley caught churning (“rebalancing”) clients: defrocked
First Standard Financial caught unauthorized, unsuitable, excessive trading: bad brokers
BEWARE: ETF ‘free trading’ means you pay another way: “Wall Street not UNICEF”
Linan Abrego Merrill caught misappropriated client funds: defrocked.
Bolton Securities, MA caught overcharging fees: self-dealing 12b-1 fees

Early retirement can accelerate the usual rate of cognitive decline: Less interaction too
Living in especially noisy areas are at a 30% higher risk of stroke with increased severity
WOW Self-driving car that killed AZ woman 2018 wasn’t programmed to recognize pedestrians!

Fake Social Security and IRS agent scammers lead the theft industry: Ask to call back!

Merrill Lynch and Raymond James caught overcharging 529 college plan fees: no jail
Schwab: I always “hated commissions” but he can always go back when he needs money.

Trump’s lieutenant Parnas thrown under bus: Giuliani strong-arm to Ukraine detailed
Trump undermines “good order and discipline”; military morale: pardon for war crimes 

Trump counting on GOP’s Supremes to keep his tax secrets from the law

Jobs
Trump had told the Bevin rally crowd on Monday. "You can't let that happen to me!"

Trump is beaten by any Dem in national polls: KY VA suburbanites woke up for Dems
Trump’s lawyer Giuliani lawyered up with 3 as his mob indicted: impeach details.
Trump’s ‘Deep Throat’ tells story of madman in WH: How to thwart mob boss.

Who owns your account now?
JPMorganChase tests new health plan on employees in 2 states: see cost before service!
401(k) contribution limit increases to $19,500 for 2020; catch-up limit rises to $6,500

FL Blue ObamaCare customers access to Lyft rides as part of the benefits package!
Health care scammers have upper hand with hospitals, etc: fail to fend off cyber attacks.

Rating quality of health plans on ACA ObamaCare’s marketplaces not complete.
Mutual fund ratings to include fees so harder for managers to get Morning’s Gold Silver

Miracle:
Rubio thinks Catholicism can save capitalism: “social doctrine does not get lot of attention.”

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