Friday, May 3, 2019

Overcome the Social Security benefit shortfall


How to overcome the Social Security benefit reduction in 16 years
The SS trustees estimate that by 2034 the combined trust funds for Social Security — which help fund the old age and disability programs — will run dry. At that point Social Security will be able to pay only 79% in promised benefits to retirees and disabled beneficiaries. Those projections are roughly on par with last year's report, which estimated the combined Social Security trust funds would be tapped out by 2034 and would then only be able to pay out 77% of benefits. Since Congress may not be able to fix this problem, you will have to do it yourself. If you are counting on $1,461 the average benefit for a 67 year old with today’s formula, it will be modified to pay about $1,154. If you believe you will need more that $1,154 a month, plan now—TIME and the Miracle of Compounding can help close your income gap of $307 a month then. You can have $60,000 in 16 years by earning 8% on your $2,000 a year contributions. You contribute $32,000 for $60,000 when you need it to supplement reduced SS benefits.

Where do your financial fees and commissions go?
The median amount of managed assets per advisor dropped 7% in 2018 to $99 million, while median ‘revenue’ per advisor rose 6% to $694,000 in the same time frame. Typically salespeople receive 33-40% of that in gross. They may have expenses. Big producers gross over $2 million but most take home $66,000. So most of your money goes to marketing and overhead of the firm. Most firms are not public so we don’t know the income of owners. As a clue, the current owner of Fidelity receives a nice package in the $ millions each year. It is NOT fantastic customer returns that she gets paid for. Most of the huge salary/bonus the owners receive comes from market growth NOT their smarts or hard work. The market’s 11% average increases your balance. You give Fidelity and other owners 1-2% of your account balance EVERY year (with eight fees and expenses you pay). They receive them even when they had nothing to do with earning it. In fact it is impossible for them NOT to make $ billions on all of our accounts just because of the ownership structure. Only one firm is owned by us, the shareholders.

Should we fear investing in the stock market right now?
Most of us have little experience with investing in securities. Even if we have some of our pay directed to the employer’s 401k or 403b, we don’t have a clue which securities to buy and own. If we listen to Wall Street brokers, we often lose. If our schools had a basic money course, it would show us how to decide: are you saving for your vacation or for your retirement? It is TIME that decides. If you need your money next year, it’s a bank CD at 2%; in less than 5 years, a mutual fund of stocks and bonds earning 6-8%; in 10 years or more, it is a diverse stock fund earning 10-12%. We don’t have to learn anything about risk/reward, stocks/bonds, alpha/beta, sector rotation, buy low-sell high, trading costs, or anything else Wall Street advert’s talk about. In fact, Fidelity looked at their most successful investors and found they forgot their account or they were dead. Follow the master investor’s advice: it is simplicity itself.

Do Wall Street traders really make a living?
Like everything, the answer varies. Salary.com pegs the lower 10 percent of stock traders’ salaries at about $43,200 per year. Those in the middle 50 percent earn a slightly higher salary, often around $57,600 each year. The highest earners nationwide, on average, take home $66,600 per year. The average household income is $60,000. Of course, the financial press can always find someone who ‘says’ they earn $150,000 or $1 million as a professional trader. There are very few surprises in financial services. The only sure thing is what our Congress people have: a law that makes ‘insider trading’ legal only for them. They learn about a law that will benefit ABC corp and they buy zillions of shares with credit (margin account) and their family assets. They can’t lose. Trying to make a living finding and trading the next ‘hot’ stock seems more hectic than it’s worth. According to a very smart person I know, investing in the stock market is like particle physics—each particle is hard to follow but a bunch of them follows a set pattern.

What’s your retirement plan?
46% of us don’t have enough. Some claim they will work till they drop. If so, why are so many taking SS benefits at age 62 when they could add 8% a year by waiting till they are age 70. I started benefits at age 62 because I could not find a job in my field. I receive $1,557 currently. My spouse waited and receives $2,964 or almost double. I should have waited. If you have no plan, start now. No matter how old you are, it would be better to use TIME to grow your nest egg. $250 a month automatically invested in a balanced (stocks and bonds) fund could provide you with $150,000 in 20 years. Example: Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund has provided over 9% a year for 10 years and since 1970. It has had only one bad year. It costs much less than most other ‘managed’ funds.

Avoid taxes on retirement savings
You can’t add to your IRA or Roth IRA if you don’t have earned income after age 70.5. So if you are receiving income you don’t need and don’t want to be taxed on it as it grows for your later years, you can still avoid taxes. You can buy/hold stocks that don’t pay dividends. You need to open a brokerage account. You can move your money there and buy any number of individual stocks. Unless you sell them, there is NO capital gain and thus no tax. One client had to begin taking RMDs from his IRA account. He will owe tax next year on this IRA money. He opened a brokerage account with his IRA fund firm. The IRA trustee automatically sells the appropriate amount of IRA funds monthly (as demanded by the IRS) and places cash in a Fed MM account. At each drop in the price of Buffett’s BRK.B stock, he buys shares. Since there are no dividends and no capital gains (until he sells) this strategy will avoid taxes in his lifetime. Actually, his heirs will not have to pay his taxes either since the basis of the taxes goes back to zero upon his death.

  
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Make America, “The Don”, Great Again
Truth isn’t truth, his lawyer says

Two Americas: A Banana Republic? Do we really want an infant king? Daddy Putin!

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How Govt wastes our money: Congress spends $1.3 Trillion we don’t have! 
Guantánamo Bay as Nursing Home: better deal than our own vets receive?
We are borrowing faster than we are making it: Economy grew 3.2% not 6 as promised.

Trump and GOP look at invading Venezuela: Congress has little power over Trump.
Trump wins: Yemen killings continue with US support for Saudi-led war.


SCAMS/SPINS:
Last time Trump was sued by the U.S.: His marketing opportunity: “greedy and grasping”

Trump WH predicts Russia threat to elections but does nothing: Like an invitation to scam votes.

Lobbyists force Congress to pass bill putting annuities in retirement package: profits soar.
Wells Fargo doubles lobbyists pay to get Congress off its case: Customers lose.

Ford caught “intentionally violated the law” in its emissions testing. Joins VW, Fiat, etc.
Survey: voters want lower drug costs and shield pre-existing conditions, med bill surprise

ACS Education Services caught failing to correct student loan balances so more charges
First drug maker/dealer found guilty of bribing doctors to push opioids. Jail time

Christopher Dougherty CA caught Ponzi defrauding 50 of $7 mil ‘private placement’ 5%.
Francesco Puccio NY caught reselling annuities/life ins. for commissions: fine no jail

Anselmo Contreras, caught stealing customer funds: barred from securities.
Axa caught "negligently misrepresentated" bond funds: 401k customers mislead. Fine


Staff in WH:  A normal person would have been indicted for this.” ‘obstruction stuff’
If you ignore Congress subpoena or a judge’s order: aren’t you in jail or a dictator?

1. “Russia, find Hill’s emails” 2. Don’s Mob made Russian deals 3. Russia tricked voters 4. Polling data payoff 5. Special Russia deals 6. Fire FBI 7. Refuse give testimony.

REDACTED Mueller Report here: https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/439485-read-muellers-redacted-report: tell lawyer to stop probe, stop probe, mislead public.

The Mob Boss can never go to jail: Trump has Kava as Supreme so no contempt.
‘No man is above the law’ … well up till now. Dictators nullify courts first, then votes.

Jobs:
Public relations jobs increase--newer specialties that target social media grow: olivajade?

Making new apps for phones may be top job for next 10 years: $100,000 for some.
Student loan repayment part of benefit package for new hires: 401k overlooked.
401k hardship withdrawal amounts have grown although number of loans has fallen.

Who owns your account now?
New bank attracting new money: Comenity pays 3%

Miracle:
Will it take a miracle to save the endangered giraffes? Penguins? Bears? Humans?


8 year old saves sister from carjacking kidnapper: GrandMom left to help other woman

Families share the ultimate gifts and then chance brings them together

IAN
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